Algeria vs Jordan: Result, Stats & Predictions (World Cup 2026)
Algeria came from behind to beat Jordan 2-1 on Monday, with two late corners keeping their World Cup knockout hopes alive.
23 June 2026
Result
Algeria beat Jordan 2-1 in Santa Clara on Monday night, coming from behind in a tense Group J encounter. Nizar Al-Rashdan gave Jordan a deserved first-half lead with a sharp strike. Algeria levelled in the 68th minute when Nadhir Benbouali headed home from a Riyad Mahrez corner. Substitute Amine Gouiri then nodded in a second from another corner in the 82nd minute to complete the comeback. Jordan are eliminated from the 2026 World Cup. Algeria remain alive heading into Matchday 3, where they need a result against Austria.
What it means for Last Man Standing pools
Algeria were the pick most people avoided in this group after their 3-0 hammering by Argentina on Matchday 1 — and Jordan were a non-pick by definition, given they'd conceded three to Austria. But this result shows Algeria still have something, especially from set pieces. For pool players, neither side was a remotely reliable pick this round — this game was effectively the group's consolation fixture. The more significant implications are for Group J's final matchday: Algeria face Austria needing a win, which makes Austria look genuinely risky in the next round.
Pre-match forecasts
Pre-match forecast models gave Algeria around a 62% implied probability of winning this match, with Jordan at roughly 16% and the draw at 22%, according to Dimers' machine learning model. A second prediction model (Sportytrader) placed Algeria's win chance slightly lower at 55%, Jordan at 22%, and the draw at 24%. The consensus was clear: Algeria were the stronger side on paper and needed the points far more. The result matched the most likely outcome, though Jordan's first-half lead meant the script wasn't as straightforward as the numbers suggested.
Standout stats
Jordan were competing in their first-ever FIFA World Cup finals, and their performance across both group games — competitive for long spells against both Austria and Algeria — underlined they were far from out of their depth. Amine Gouiri's winning header came in his first meaningful contribution of the tournament, having come off the bench, which speaks to Algeria's depth in the final third. Riyad Mahrez delivered the assists for both Algeria goals from corner kicks — both came from deliveries he whipped in himself, per match reports. Algeria's overall tournament xG across two games now sits below 1.5, making their survival more about set-piece efficiency and defensive resilience than open-play threat.
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